Bitcoin and the Dead Cat Bounce

The “Dead Cat Bounce”

“A dead cat bounce is a temporary recovery from a prolonged decline or a bear market that is followed by the continuation of the downtrend. The name “dead cat bounce” is based on the notion that even a dead cat will bounce if it falls far enough and fast enough..” – Investopedia

The powers that rule the financial markets, The FED, the SEC, the World Bank, etc., all have one thing in common – they view Bitcoin as “the enemy” (The enemy of the Banks).  While volatility rages in the Bitcoin price, any downturn – or upturn is regarded as proof that Bitcoin is a sham or fraud, like the “Dead Cat Bounce”.

Unfortunately for the large financial institutions, Bitcoin is far from dead.  In fact, it is making a recovery from recent lows.  Is the cat bouncing?  You Bet it is.  That sucker is going up and down like a yoyo.  Count on it.

History teaches us that it takes 20 years to convert a financial fad into a trend, and a trend into an institution.  Bitcoin started in 2009, and is a nine-year overnight success. The banks deride Bitcoin, but almost all of them are using the Blockchain technology (the underlying bitcoin technology) for developing low cost and stable transactions.  With apologies to the Bard, “Methinks the banks protest too much”.

While the cat is bouncing, you can 
1) Enjoy the show
2) Keep calm and HODL on
3) Buy on what looks like it may be a “low”, and sell some on what looks like a “high”  (Note: it is generally agreed that no one can “time” the market, but with this much volatility, moving 20% in the course of a week, it could be a worthwhile risk – but don’t “bet the Farm” – know how much you can afford to lose, and keep Maalox handy).

Enjoy the show, Hold your coin and enjoy the highs, while avoiding despair when the price plunges and the Fat Cats project the “End of Bitcoin”.

Bitcoin Obituaries – Bitcoin has died 253 times
Best of luck to you, and may your Bitcoin portfolio go TO THE MOON!

 

The Bitcoin Guarantee

One thing is Guaranteed when you have Bitcoin;

Volatility!

Bitcoin is unregulated, without government or regulatory controls (except market forces, both normal and manipulated).  It is also a very young form of monetary commerce, so no long term-trends are available to track.

 

Bitcoin has had a perfect storm of troubles since it’s precipitous high of almost $20,000 per BTC.  China and South Korea are trying to ban trading in Bitcoin;  it may destabilize their currency, and move money out of the country without government purview.  China is allegedly making their own coin (China planning the world’s largest state-backed cryptocurrency).  Venezuela is also planning a state -backed Cryptocurrency, the “Petro”.


Charlie Lee, who founded litecoin in 2011, said on Reddit Wednesday that he had “sold and donated” all of his litecoin tokens over the past few days — except for some physical ones he keeps as “collectibles.” – CNBC

In case you have not noticed, the death of Bitcoin has been reported by major news articles 309 times.

With this volatility, regulation, state-run competition, and exposure to negative opinion, It’s no wonder that Bitcoin is taking it on the chin. While some feel the need to kick Bitcoin while it is down, Many of the hedge funds have not sold any of their Bitcoin reserves, as many credible sources predict higher prices for Bitcoin in the near future.  They may even be buying more, as the next article states:

Bitcoin headed to $100,000 in 2018, says analyst who predicted last year’s price rise

Personally, I am not selling off my Bitcoins.  I have been buying all the way down.  And I am going to join the Hodlers keeping their Bitcoin and waiting for the pendulum to swing the other way, maybe even with another meteoric price rise.

Bitcoin is not a large part of my holdings, so I am not “betting the farm”.  But I am certain it will, as it has done in the past, have wild swings in valuation.

Many established finance people denigrate and even fear Bitcoin, because they don’t understand it, don’t see any regulation or protections, and worry it will siphon money from traditional investments in Forex towards Bitcoin.

Why the Big Banks Attacked Bitcoin

Bitcoin is 300 Times Cheaper Than Wire Transfers, Banks Take 83% Profit 

Product Details
Cryptocurrency: Mining, Investing and Trading in Blockchain, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, Dash, Dogecoin, Emercoin, Putincoin, Auroracoin and others (Fintech) [2nd Edition]

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For me, I am staying the course, strapped in and enjoying the wild ride.  For those who are jumping with glee over the death of Bitcoin, well, we are certainly not there yet.

Yours in Cryptocurrency,

Alan

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15EzAW7wfyqHD8pj6hS1dUCaLeLxW8uMbn
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